NFL 10/18 Titans at Jags

Jacksonville +3

Looking at this game I see two teams are coming into this game both 3-2 looking to become 4-2 and stay tied with Houston and Indy in this division. Division games are huge and both of these teams know that going into this one. So why do I like Jacksonville?

The Jags come into this game off of back to back wins where they averaged 34 points per game. Their defense though has to step it up, it has allowed 27 points per game in those two wins. They will not continue to win with a Defense playing that bad. The Jags though have played really well in conference play its last 5 home conference games. This team is averaging 29 points per game in those 5 conference home games but are allowing 26 points per game in those games. They are however 3-1 ATS in their last 4 home conference games as an underdog.

The Titans come into this game off a big win In Dallas last week. The bad thing though for the Titans they are right back on the road again this week now against a division rival in the Jags. It is not easy to be on the road in back to back weeks. The Titans have played very well on the road this year where they are avergaing 32 points per game away from home and they are only allowing 19 points per game away from home and are 2-0 ATS in those 2 games and 2-0 SU. So why are they only a 3 point favorite in this game if they are playing this well on the road? Well did you know that the titans though are 0-3 ATS in their last 3 conference road games as a favorite. They are 1-4 ATS L5 games as a favorite of 3 or less. They only have averaged 13 points per game their last 5 conference road games. They are also allowing 23 points per game in those 5 conference road games. The Titans actually are only 2-6 ATS their last 8 conference games overall.

I actually think this is going to be a good game. I feel that the Jags are going to keep this game close and could even pull off the outright win on this game. The way the Titans are playing in conference as of late and on the road in conference I have to say I feel the Jags are the right play in this game. We are seeing 65% of the bets coming in on the Titans and the line has moved from +3 -110 to +3 -120 on the Titans. IT looks like the bigger money is coming in on the home dog in this one and that is where I am going. Jags +3 for me in this one for 1 unit and I really think it ends up with a score of 23-21 Jags.