Detroit +9.5
Detroit comes into this game actually playig much better basketball. Winning 3 out of their last 5 and also going 7-3 ATS in thier last 10 games. They are actually 5-2 ATS on the road this year. Detroit is also 2-1 ATS on the front end of a back to back this year.
Dallas comes into this game actually playing better on the road then at home. They are 4-1 away this year and 4-1 ATS in those 5 games. When they come home they are 4-3 and only 1-4-2 ATS at home this year. They seem to not play as strong at home then they do away. It is kind of head sratching since most teams play better at home but maybe they feel more pressure to win at home then they do away. I do not know but it helps us bettors since you can not make them a small dog over a bad team at home since then all the money would come in on them and books want even action.
Some of the trends I like for this game is as followed. Dallas is 2-16-2 ATS in their last 20 games as a favorite of 8 plus points.Dallas is 4-20-2 ATS in their last 26 home against a team with a losing road record. The Pistons are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games as an underdog. The Pistons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games against a team with a winning home record. The Mavs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against the Central division. The road team is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Detroit has played Dallas very tough the last 3 meeting. Yes Dallas has won all 3 of them but by no more then 5 points in those 3 games. Dallas seems to play down to competition at home while Detroit seems to get up for these games against top teams. I just do not see Dallas blowing this Detroit team out who is playing better basketball as of late. I think this is going to be a closer game then expected and Detroit should cover this line. So I will play the Pistons in this one.
Good Luck everyone!
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