Tuesday, November 30, 2010

11/30 NCAA Mens Basketball Bradley at W. Carolina

Bradley at W. Carolina Under 132.5

One of the first things I like to do is figure out what the books think the score is going to be of a game. Looking at this game they have W Carolina -3 and Over under of 132.5. I see them having this game end up W Carolina 68 Bradley 65.

Well Bradley is going to have to score 65 points and allow 68. Bradley had played 5 games against Division 1 opponents and has only scored more then 65 twice and that was 68 against TCU and 66 against N Illinois who is one of the worst defenses in college basketball ranked at 318 out of 345 teams. Bradley on the other hand is not going to allow 68 points. This team has only allowed more then 68 once this year out of the 5 games against Div 1 schools they played.

W Carolina comes into this game having to score 68 and allow 65 to have this game go over the total. W. Carolina has only scored 68 points or more in 1 of their 6 games against Division 1 schools this year. No W Carolina does not have that solid of a defense. They have allowed 65 or more points in 4 of their 6 games against Division 1 schools this year. So should this scare me that Bradley will score on W Carolina.

These two teams are not very good at shooting. Bradley is averaging only 38% from the field this year while W. Carolina is only averaging 39% from the field. Both of these teams are shooting under 70% from the line so we will see some missed free throws in this game tonight.

I have found a few trends I like for this game. The under is 4-1 in Bradley's last 5 non conference games. The under is 4-0-1 in W. Carolina's last 5 home games as a favorite. The under is 5-0 in W. Carolina's last 5 games against non conference opponents.

I do not see W Carolina scoring many points on this Bradley team. This Bradley team is in the top 100 for defenses in College basketball. Bradley is not that great of a shooting team and either is W Carolina. I really believe that these two teams will miss a lot of shots and the defense will step up for these two teams. I am going to play the under in this game.

Good Luck Everyone!

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