Friday, December 3, 2010

N Dakota At Idaho Free Pick

N Dakota +10.

Let me first say that their is no way Idaho should be a 10 point favorite. They should be somewhere between a 4 to 7 point favorite.

N Dakota comes into this game averaging 58 points per game and allowing 70 points per game. That is better then Idaho who is averaging 57 points per game and allowing 72 points per game.

I always figure out what Vegas thinks the score should be when they make the lines. This game has an O/U set at 129 and Idaho -10. So with that line it is saying that Idaho will win this game 69.5 to 59.5.

Well how is Idaho going to win by that score when they have not had a game all year where they gave up less then 60 points. It is not easy to cover a spread of +10 when your defense is not playing that great. N Dakota on the other hand has to allow 69.5 points. They have only allowed that twice all year so far.

I do not see Idaho being able to beat this N Dakota team by 10 points. I think this game will be a lot closer then what people think. I see a final score around 65-60.

I recommend playing N Dakota +10...

Good Luck Everyone!

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